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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 April 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 25
  3. 43
  4. 44
  5. 52
  6. 5

Jackpot€19,200,000

The crowdHeld 56% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 578 of 869 under them

← 2021-03-28All recent draws2021-04-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 25 43 44 52 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

1846times
2543times
4345times
4446times
52

Prize breakdown · 2021-04-04

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€20.8Mto 524k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • 5+193%€19.2M
  • 2+02.0%€407.9K
  • 0+12.6%€538.4K
  • 6 other tiers2.8%€584.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

559times

Every number was expected about that many times after 577 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 44, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 January 2014 — its closest relative in 577 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

182

The numbers add up to 182 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 46 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€19,246,474
  • 5+01≈ 1.7 by chance€192,766
  • 4+123≈ 46 by chance€1,524
  • 4+0147≈ 415 by chance€278
  • 3+11,220≈ 2.2k by chance€38.30
  • 3+08,369≈ 20k by chance€18.15
  • 2+119,113≈ 35k by chance€6.11
  • 2+0135,980≈ 312k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1358,957≈ 359k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,369 winners, 58% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€19,246,474
    5+01€192,766
    4+123€1,524
    4+0147€278
    3+11,220€38.30
    3+08,369€18.15
    2+119,113€6.11
    2+0135,980€3.00
    0+1358,957€1.50