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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 August 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 12
  3. 44
  4. 47
  5. 51
  6. 2

Jackpot€12,800,000

The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 597 of 869 under them

← 2021-08-08All recent draws2021-08-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 12 44 47 51 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

760times
1263times
4450times
4746times
51

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 443k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€182.1K
  • 2+032%€452.6K
  • 0+129%€401.4K
  • 5 other tiers26%€369.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

261times

Every number was expected about that many times after 596 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 12, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 September 2017 — its closest relative in 596 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 67 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.3 by chance€182,120
  • 4+125≈ 34 by chance€1,325
  • 4+0185≈ 309 by chance€209
  • 3+1886≈ 1.7k by chance€49.83
  • 3+08,976≈ 15k by chance€15.99
  • 2+114,834≈ 26k by chance€7.44
  • 2+0150,876≈ 233k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1267,590≈ 268k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 886 winners, 46% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€182,120
    4+125€1,325
    4+0185€209
    3+1886€49.83
    3+08,976€15.99
    2+114,834€7.44
    2+0150,876€3.00
    0+1267,590€1.50