LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 25 December 2022

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 24
  3. 44
  4. 51
  5. 54
  6. 1

Jackpot€13,700,000

The crowdHeld 36% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 668 of 869 under them

← 2022-12-18All recent draws2023-01-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 24 44 51 54 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

2162times
2465times
4457times
5170times
54

Prize breakdown · 2022-12-25

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 367k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+015%€183.4K
  • 2+029%€370.7K
  • 0+127%€335.3K
  • 5 other tiers30%€372.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

61times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

160times

Every number was expected about that many times after 667 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 24, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 April 2021 — its closest relative in 667 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 December 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

194

The numbers add up to 194 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.1 by chance€183,359
  • 4+115≈ 29 by chance€2,223
  • 4+0146≈ 258 by chance€266
  • 3+1699≈ 1.4k by chance€63.59
  • 3+07,384≈ 12k by chance€19.56
  • 2+111,679≈ 22k by chance€9.52
  • 2+0123,571≈ 194k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1223,538≈ 224k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 699 winners, 49% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€183,359
    4+115€2,223
    4+0146€266
    3+1699€63.59
    3+07,384€19.56
    2+111,679€9.52
    2+0123,571€3.00
    0+1223,538€1.50