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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 October 2017

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 26
  3. 30
  4. 33
  5. 51
  6. 7

Jackpot€12,800,000

The crowdHeld 60% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 407 of 868 under them

← 2017-10-08All recent draws2017-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 26 30 33 51 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

1832times
2635times
3026times
3341times
51

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 527k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€185.6K
  • 2+025%€382.8K
  • 0+137%€557.1K
  • 5 other tiers25%€376.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

42times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

746times

Every number was expected about that many times after 406 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 26, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 September 2014 — its closest relative in 406 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.8 by chance€185,579
  • 4+124≈ 48 by chance€1,406
  • 4+0118≈ 429 by chance€334
  • 3+11,122≈ 2.3k by chance€40.10
  • 3+07,940≈ 21k by chance€18.41
  • 2+118,860≈ 36k by chance€5.96
  • 2+0127,590≈ 323k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1371,384≈ 371k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,940 winners, 61% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€185,579
    4+124€1,406
    4+0118€334
    3+11,122€40.10
    3+07,940€18.41
    2+118,860€5.96
    2+0127,590€3.00
    0+1371,384€1.50