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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 2 November 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 17
  3. 23
  4. 30
  5. 47
  6. 6

Jackpot€8,862,672

The crowdHeld 30% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 253 of 869 under them

← 2014-10-26All recent draws2014-11-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 17 23 30 47 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 November 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread40th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

1225times
1720times
2329times
3018times
47

Prize breakdown · 2014-11-02

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 479k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€157.2K
  • 2+036%€506.5K
  • 0+130%€418.5K
  • 5 other tiers23%€319.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

30times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

624times

Every number was expected about that many times after 252 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (17, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 October 2014 — its closest relative in 252 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 October 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€78,614
  • 4+128≈ 36 by chance€1,021
  • 4+0251≈ 323 by chance€133
  • 3+11,309≈ 1.7k by chance€29.12
  • 3+011,757≈ 15k by chance€10.54
  • 2+118,271≈ 27k by chance€5.22
  • 2+0168,847≈ 243k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1279,013≈ 279k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 18,271 winners, 32% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€78,614
    4+128€1,021
    4+0251€133
    3+11,309€29.12
    3+011,757€10.54
    2+118,271€5.22
    2+0168,847€3.00
    0+1279,013€1.50