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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 25 December 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 30
  4. 41
  5. 50
  6. 8

Jackpot€7,026,688

The crowdHeld 42% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 104 of 868 under them

← 2011-12-18All recent draws2012-01-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 30 41 50 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread83th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

410times
98times
306times
4110times
50

Prize breakdown · 2011-12-25

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2Mto 630k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 4+116%€333.9K
  • 2+029%€597.9K
  • 0+129%€595.1K
  • 4 other tiers25%€522.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.21 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

811times

Every number was expected about that many times after 103 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (4, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 December 2011 — its closest relative in 103 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 December 2011): 4, 30 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.9 by chance
no winners
  • 4+118≈ 51 by chance€18,551
  • 4+0206≈ 459 by chance€291
  • 3+11,219≈ 2.4k by chance€56.19
  • 3+011,392≈ 22k by chance€19.54
  • 2+120,984≈ 38k by chance€8.16
  • 2+0199,294≈ 345k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1396,741≈ 397k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,219 winners, 50% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+118€18,551
    4+0206€291
    3+11,219€56.19
    3+011,392€19.54
    2+120,984€8.16
    2+0199,294€3.00
    0+1396,741€1.50