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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 11 July 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 18
  3. 19
  4. 30
  5. 50
  6. 4

Jackpot€10,000,000

The crowdHeld 44% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 592 of 869 under them

← 2021-07-04All recent draws2021-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 18 19 30 50 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

142times
1850times
1947times
3046times
50

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 451k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€179.5K
  • 2+030%€420.5K
  • 0+131%€428.9K
  • 5 other tiers26%€364.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

46times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

449times

Every number was expected about that many times after 591 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 18, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 December 2017 — its closest relative in 591 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 July 2021): 18 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€89,748
  • 4+119≈ 37 by chance€1,718
  • 4+0170≈ 331 by chance€224
  • 3+1978≈ 1.8k by chance€44.49
  • 3+08,362≈ 16k by chance€16.91
  • 2+115,753≈ 28k by chance€6.91
  • 2+0140,172≈ 249k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1285,964≈ 286k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,362 winners, 47% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€89,748
    4+119€1,718
    4+0170€224
    3+1978€44.49
    3+08,362€16.91
    2+115,753€6.91
    2+0140,172€3.00
    0+1285,964€1.50