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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 3 May 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 15
  3. 18
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 8

Jackpot€6,834,380

The crowdHeld 31% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 279 of 868 under them

← 2015-04-26All recent draws2015-05-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 15 18 29 30 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

424times
1530times
1822times
2931times
30

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 450k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€183.8K
  • 2+035%€471.9K
  • 0+130%€394.8K
  • 4 other tiers21%€287.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

20times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

832times

Every number was expected about that many times after 278 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 18, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 December 2011 — its closest relative in 278 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 65% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 April 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • 4+126≈ 34 by chance€7,070
  • 4+0237≈ 304 by chance€139
  • 3+11,100≈ 1.6k by chance€34.28
  • 3+010,962≈ 15k by chance€11.18
  • 2+116,688≈ 25k by chance€5.65
  • 2+0157,311≈ 229k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1263,189≈ 263k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 16,688 winners, 34% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+126€7,070
    4+0237€139
    3+11,100€34.28
    3+010,962€11.18
    2+116,688€5.65
    2+0157,311€3.00
    0+1263,189€1.50