LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 September 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 18
  3. 26
  4. 30
  5. 31
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,967,912

The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 247 of 868 under them

← 2014-09-14All recent draws2014-09-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 18 26 30 31 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap6th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

928times
1820times
2623times
3017times
31

Prize breakdown · 2014-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 477k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€172.1K
  • 2+034%€489.8K
  • 0+130%€426.5K
  • 5 other tiers24%€349.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

826times

Every number was expected about that many times after 246 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (9, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 July 2014 — its closest relative in 246 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2014): 9 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€86,036
  • 4+123≈ 37 by chance€1,360
  • 4+0220≈ 329 by chance€166
  • 3+11,260≈ 1.8k by chance€33.11
  • 3+010,667≈ 16k by chance€12.71
  • 2+117,589≈ 27k by chance€5.93
  • 2+0163,276≈ 247k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1284,311≈ 284k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 17,589 winners, 36% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€86,036
    4+123€1,360
    4+0220€166
    3+11,260€33.11
    3+010,667€12.71
    2+117,589€5.93
    2+0163,276€3.00
    0+1284,311€1.50