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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 August 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 30
  2. 31
  3. 35
  4. 37
  5. 41
  6. 6

Jackpot€5,878,307

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 294 of 868 under them

← 2015-08-09All recent draws2015-08-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed30 31 35 37 41 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

15oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 15 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd90th
  • low1th
  • widest gap0th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

3021times
3129times
3524times
3726times
41

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 390k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€176K
  • 2+028%€353.2K
  • 0+130%€376.9K
  • 5 other tiers28%€357.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

31times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

629times

Every number was expected about that many times after 293 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (35, 37, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 December 2012 — its closest relative in 293 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 August 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€175,991
  • 4+114≈ 32 by chance€2,286
  • 4+0138≈ 291 by chance€271
  • 3+1731≈ 1.5k by chance€58.36
  • 3+07,017≈ 14k by chance€19.76
  • 2+112,773≈ 24k by chance€8.35
  • 2+0117,719≈ 219k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1251,295≈ 251k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 731 winners, 53% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€175,991
    4+114€2,286
    4+0138€271
    3+1731€58.36
    3+07,017€19.76
    2+112,773€8.35
    2+0117,719€3.00
    0+1251,295€1.50