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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 23 May 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 26
  5. 35
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,982 of 3,064 under them

← 2026-05-22All recent draws2026-05-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 16 23 26 35 + 16 Oct 2026, 21:41 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 May 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 382 of each

14354times
16377times
23377times
26410times
35

Prize breakdown · 2026-05-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 106k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball44%£500.0K
  • Match 313%£147.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%£180.7K
  • 6 other tiers28%£316.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

357times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 213 of each

1209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,981 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 16, 26, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 February 2016 — its closest relative in 2,981 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 May 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4455≈ 358 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball857≈ 910 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,127≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,753≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,148≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,114≈ 45k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,753 winners, 25% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,114£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,148£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,127£10.00
    Match 314,753£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball857£20.00
    Match 4455£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000