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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 8 February 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 16
  3. 35
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 31% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,296 of 3,063 under them

← 2023-02-07All recent draws2023-02-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 16 35 37 38 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread76th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 294 of each

6316times
16293times
35260times
37272times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-08

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£525.6Kto 99k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 14lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 316%£86.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£168.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%£144.2K
  • 5 other tiers24%£126.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

288times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each

13186times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,295 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 16, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 April 2022 — its closest relative in 2,295 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19≈ 29 by chance£250
  • Match 4271≈ 382 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball654≈ 969 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,678≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 38,670≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,600≈ 40k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,058≈ 48k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 654 winners, 33% fewer than the 969 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,058£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,600£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,678£10.00
    Match 38,670£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball654£20.00
    Match 4271£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000