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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 21 January 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 23
  5. 25
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 38% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,087 of 3,063 under them

← 2017-01-20All recent draws2017-01-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 15 16 23 25 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each

8137times
15134times
16136times
23144times
25

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-21

  • Lines in play≈ 2.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 177k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 324%£259.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball28%£303.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£215.4K
  • 5 other tiers29%£314.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

134times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,086 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 15, 16, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 March 2011 — its closest relative in 1,086 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 28% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 3.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball53≈ 44 by chance£250
  • Match 4851≈ 570 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,531≈ 1.4k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,078≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 325,903≈ 19k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,656≈ 60k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball71,800≈ 72k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 851 winners, 49% more than the 570 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball71,800£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,656£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,078£10.00
    Match 325,903£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,531£20.00
    Match 4851£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball53£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000