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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Friday, 18 December 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-12-16 All recent draws 2015-12-19 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 4 5 6 16 25 + 10 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-12-18 Lines in play ≈ 1.1M as the winner counts imply Paid out £550.3K to 92k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.13 Where the money went
Match 3 22% £122.2K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 30% £162.4K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 20% £111.7K 5 other tiers 28% £154.0K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.13 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
115times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 914 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 1≈ 1.7 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 32≈ 23 by chance £250
Match 4 358≈ 296 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 864≈ 750 by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 8,794≈ 8.0k by chance £10.00
Match 3 12,224≈ 9.8k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 32,475≈ 31k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 37,221≈ 37k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,224 winners, 25% more than the 9.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.