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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 14 May 2016 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2016-05-13 All recent draws 2016-05-18 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 11 15 16 22 34 + 1 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2016-05-14 Lines in play ≈ 2.2M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.1M to 187k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.27 Where the money went
Match 3 23% £258.1K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 29% £327.5K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 20% £228.0K 5 other tiers 27% £304.2K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.27 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
112times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 978 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 3≈ 3.6 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 57≈ 46 by chance £250
Match 4 754≈ 604 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,553≈ 1.5k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 16,846≈ 16k by chance £10.00
Match 3 25,805≈ 20k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 65,492≈ 63k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 75,995≈ 76k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 25,805 winners, 30% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.