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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 12 July 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 16
  3. 28
  4. 34
  5. 35
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,175 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-07-09All recent draws2022-07-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 16 28 34 35 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 279 of each

2277times
16277times
28276times
34297times
35

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-12

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£948.4Kto 79k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball53%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball15%£139.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball12%£109.5K
  • 6 other tiers21%£199.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

247times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 155 of each

13174times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,174 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 34, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 April 2022 — its closest relative in 2,174 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2022): 28 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 13 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4217≈ 290 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball591≈ 736 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,507≈ 7.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 37,722≈ 9.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27,818≈ 30k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,503≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 591 winners, 20% fewer than the 736 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,503£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27,818£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,507£10.00
    Match 37,722£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball591£20.00
    Match 4217£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000