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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 8 July 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 21
  3. 22
  4. 25
  5. 30
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,173 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-07-06All recent draws2022-07-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 21 22 25 30 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 278 of each

16276times
21295times
22288times
25254times
30

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-08

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£548.5Kto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£114.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£167.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£115.7K
  • 5 other tiers28%£151.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

307times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 155 of each

10144times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,172 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 21, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 January 2022 — its closest relative in 2,172 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4339≈ 306 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball855≈ 777 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,760≈ 8.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,430≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,492≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,553≈ 39k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,430 winners, 13% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,553£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,492£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,760£10.00
    Match 311,430£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball855£20.00
    Match 4339£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000