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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 23 May 2015

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 31
  5. 37
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 826 of 3,063 under them

← 2015-05-22All recent draws2015-05-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 16 31 37 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 106 of each

2114times
15107times
1699times
31126times
37

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-23

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.7Mto 224k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball29%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%£398.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball18%£304.6K
  • 6 other tiers30%£526.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

79times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

462times

Every number was expected about that many times after 825 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 15, 16, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 April 2011 — its closest relative in 825 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 May 2015): 15 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 4.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball38≈ 62 by chance£250
  • Match 4533≈ 807 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,631≈ 2.0k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,299≈ 22k by chance£10.00
  • Match 321,334≈ 27k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball79,641≈ 85k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball101,549≈ 102k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 533 winners, 34% fewer than the 807 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball101,549£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball79,641£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,299£10.00
    Match 321,334£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,631£20.00
    Match 4533£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball38£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000