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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 3 October 2015

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 16
  5. 23
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 37% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 883 of 3,063 under them

← 2015-10-02All recent draws2015-10-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 12 16 23 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 113 of each

2121times
11101times
1297times
16107times
23

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.3Mto 212k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£301.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£370.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£252.4K
  • 5 other tiers29%£374.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.30 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

115times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each

1061times

Every number was expected about that many times after 882 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 11, 16, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 August 2011 — its closest relative in 882 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

64

The numbers add up to 64 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 3.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball58≈ 51 by chance£250
  • Match 4914≈ 668 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,975≈ 1.7k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,400≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 330,119≈ 22k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball74,170≈ 70k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball84,148≈ 84k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 914 winners, 37% more than the 668 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball84,148£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball74,170£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball20,400£10.00
    Match 330,119£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,975£20.00
    Match 4914£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball58£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000