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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 24 February 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 24
  5. 28
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,305 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-02-22All recent draws2023-02-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 16 24 28 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 295 of each

1287times
15298times
16295times
24307times
28

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-24

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£504.3Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£111.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£152.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£107.7K
  • 4 other tiers26%£132.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

297times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each

2151times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,304 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 24, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 January 2023 — its closest relative in 2,304 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4341≈ 285 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball752≈ 724 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,836≈ 7.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,183≈ 9.4k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,544≈ 30k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,913≈ 36k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,183 winners, 19% more than the 9.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,913£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,544£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,836£10.00
    Match 311,183£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball752£20.00
    Match 4341£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000