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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 38
  6. 5

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,230 of 3,064 under them

← 2022-10-14All recent draws2022-10-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 16 17 38 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 286 of each

5268times
13283times
16283times
17273times
38

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 2.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.5Mto 177k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball34%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%£334.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball15%£221.8K
  • 6 other tiers29%£429.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

277times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 159 of each

5159times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,229 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 16, 17, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 January 2022 — its closest relative in 2,229 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 48% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2022): 13, 38 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 3.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34≈ 45 by chance£250
  • Match 4449≈ 587 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,526≈ 1.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,698≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 316,337≈ 19k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball66,895≈ 62k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball73,918≈ 74k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 449 winners, 24% fewer than the 587 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball73,918£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball66,895£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,698£10.00
    Match 316,337£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,526£20.00
    Match 4449£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000