LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Friday, 17 July 2015

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 19
  3. 21
  4. 28
  5. 38
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 849 of 3,063 under them

← 2015-07-15All recent draws2015-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 19 21 28 38 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 109 of each

16102times
19115times
21121times
28115times
38

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-17

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£606.8Kto 108k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£108.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£196.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£137.9K
  • 5 other tiers27%£164.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

104times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

863times

Every number was expected about that many times after 848 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 21, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 June 2015 — its closest relative in 848 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4290≈ 365 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball922≈ 927 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,521≈ 9.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,803≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,200≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,960≈ 46k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,803 winners, 10% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,960£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,200£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,521£10.00
    Match 310,803£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball922£20.00
    Match 4290£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000