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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 25 May 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 13
  4. 16
  5. 36
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 26% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,566 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-05-24All recent draws2024-05-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 13 16 36 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 329 of each

3313times
5326times
13321times
16323times
36

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-25

  • Lines in play≈ 1.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£749.6Kto 124k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£169.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£216.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£154.3K
  • 5 other tiers28%£209.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

307times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

1185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,565 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 13, 16) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 March 2024 — its closest relative in 2,565 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

73

The numbers add up to 73 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 2.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33≈ 31 by chance£250
  • Match 4442≈ 409 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,015≈ 1.0k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,132≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 316,928≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball43,389≈ 43k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball51,448≈ 51k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,928 winners, 26% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball51,448£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball43,389£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,132£10.00
    Match 316,928£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,015£20.00
    Match 4442£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000