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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 31 May 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 27
  5. 29
  6. 5

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,569 of 3,063 under them

← 2024-05-29All recent draws2024-06-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 16 27 29 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 329 of each

8320times
11333times
16324times
27323times
29

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-31

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£707.5Kto 113k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£134.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£202.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£136.9K
  • 5 other tiers33%£233.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

343times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

5188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,568 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 11, 16, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 May 2021 — its closest relative in 2,568 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 56≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball47≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4515≈ 363 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,186≈ 920 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,618≈ 9.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,478≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball40,523≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,643≈ 46k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,186 winners, 29% more than the 920 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,643£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball40,523£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,618£10.00
    Match 313,478£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,186£20.00
    Match 4515£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball47£250
    Match 56£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000