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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Friday, 11 March 2016 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2016-03-09 All recent draws 2016-03-12 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 1 12 16 21 24 + 13 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2016-03-11 Lines in play ≈ 1.2M as the winner counts imply Paid out £577.7K to 99k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.15 Where the money went
Match 3 21% £120.6K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 30% £172.0K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 22% £125.7K 5 other tiers 28% £159.4K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.15 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
118times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 68 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 950 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 2≈ 2.0 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 25≈ 26 by chance £250
Match 4 374≈ 333 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 805≈ 845 by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 8,966≈ 9.0k by chance £10.00
Match 3 12,058≈ 11k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 34,403≈ 35k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 41,902≈ 42k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,058 winners, 10% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.