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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 31 July 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 19
  4. 21
  5. 27
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 3,021 of 3,062 under them

← 2026-07-29All recent draws2026-08-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 19 21 27 + 1210 Oct 2026, 20:47 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 387 of each

1383times
16386times
19394times
21396times
27

Prize breakdown · 2026-07-31

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.0Mto 85k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball49%£500.0K
  • Match 311%£108.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball15%£150.0K
  • 6 other tiers25%£253.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

380times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 216 of each

12217times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,020 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 19, 21, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 August 2022 — its closest relative in 3,020 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4327≈ 280 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball708≈ 710 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,787≈ 7.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,870≈ 9.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,009≈ 29k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,202≈ 35k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,870 winners, 18% more than the 9.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,202£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,009£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,787£10.00
    Match 310,870£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball708£20.00
    Match 4327£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000