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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 18 March 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 26
  3. 30
  4. 31
  5. 36
  6. 11

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,944 of 3,064 under them

← 2026-03-17All recent draws2026-03-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 26 30 31 36 + 118 Sept 2026, 20:40 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 March 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 377 of each

16370times
26402times
30411times
31391times
36

Prize breakdown · 2026-03-18

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£503.5Kto 91k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£93.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£159.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£122.2K
  • 5 other tiers25%£127.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

361times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each

11207times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,943 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 26, 30, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 July 2020 — its closest relative in 2,943 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 March 2026): 26, 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 25 by chance£250
  • Match 4227≈ 323 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball743≈ 821 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,027≈ 8.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,383≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,934≈ 34k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,721≈ 41k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,383 winners, 12% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,721£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,934£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,027£10.00
    Match 39,383£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball743£20.00
    Match 4227£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000