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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 26 July 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 22
  3. 24
  4. 33
  5. 35
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,392 of 3,063 under them

← 2023-07-25All recent draws2023-07-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 22 24 33 35 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 307 of each

16306times
22319times
24315times
33300times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£572.0Kto 105k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 317%£97.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£188.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£142.3K
  • 5 other tiers25%£143.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

276times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 171 of each

9146times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,391 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 24, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 January 2023 — its closest relative in 2,391 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 July 2023): 16 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21≈ 29 by chance£250
  • Match 4241≈ 377 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball812≈ 957 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,245≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,783≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,749≈ 40k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47,448≈ 47k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,783 winners, 21% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47,448£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,749£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,245£10.00
    Match 39,783£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball812£20.00
    Match 4241£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000