LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Friday, 23 October 2020

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 16
  4. 34
  5. 39
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,817 of 3,063 under them

← 2020-10-21All recent draws2020-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 16 34 39 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

8223times
11211times
16245times
34248times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£587.5Kto 105k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£108.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£188.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£136.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%£154.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

223times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 130 of each

4134times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,816 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 34, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 June 2020 — its closest relative in 1,816 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2020): 11 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4302≈ 360 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball868≈ 915 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,815≈ 9.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,870≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,693≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,368≈ 45k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,870 winners, 9% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,368£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,693£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,815£10.00
    Match 310,870£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball868£20.00
    Match 4302£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000