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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 16 April 2019

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 16
  4. 22
  5. 38
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,499 of 3,064 under them

← 2019-04-13All recent draws2019-04-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 16 22 38 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 April 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd1th
  • low64th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

2200times
14165times
16202times
22203times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-04-16

  • Lines in play≈ 939kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£416.7Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£78.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£125.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£97.3K
  • 5 other tiers28%£115.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

183times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each

3127times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,498 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 14, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 March 2019 — its closest relative in 1,498 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 April 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 20 by chance£250
  • Match 4223≈ 258 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball539≈ 654 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,215≈ 7.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 37,841≈ 8.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25,152≈ 27k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball32,432≈ 32k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈939k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 539 winners, 18% fewer than the 654 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball32,432£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25,152£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,215£10.00
    Match 37,841£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball539£20.00
    Match 4223£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000