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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 10 October 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 28
  5. 46
  6. 3

Jackpot€6,322,713

The crowdHeld 41% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 41 of 869 under them

← 2010-10-03All recent draws2010-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 17 28 46 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

145times
154times
173times
287times
46

Prize breakdown · 2010-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 937k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€305K
  • 2+033%€889.4K
  • 0+132%€873.1K
  • 5 other tiers23%€619.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.31 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

3times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

31time

Every number was expected about that many times after 40 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (15, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 June 2010 — its closest relative in 40 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.7 by chance€305,033
  • 4+150≈ 75 by chance€1,109
  • 4+0376≈ 673 by chance€172
  • 3+12,358≈ 3.6k by chance€31.36
  • 3+019,178≈ 32k by chance€12.53
  • 2+136,909≈ 56k by chance€5.01
  • 2+0296,469≈ 506k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1582,078≈ 582k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 376 winners, 44% fewer than the 673 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€305,033
    4+150€1,109
    4+0376€172
    3+12,358€31.36
    3+019,178€12.53
    2+136,909€5.01
    2+0296,469€3.00
    0+1582,078€1.50