LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 23 December 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 18
  3. 40
  4. 42
  5. 54
  6. 3

The crowdHeld 43% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 156 of 868 under them

← 2012-12-16All recent draws2012-12-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 18 40 42 54 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd1th
  • low34th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

1218times
1814times
4013times
427times
54

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 522k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • 4+116%€280.4K
  • 2+029%€488.9K
  • 0+129%€493.1K
  • 4 other tiers26%€438.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.17 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

15times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

311times

Every number was expected about that many times after 155 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 October 2012 — its closest relative in 155 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 December 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.6 by chance
no winners
  • 4+125≈ 42 by chance€11,215
  • 4+0173≈ 380 by chance€291
  • 3+11,092≈ 2.0k by chance€52.67
  • 3+09,467≈ 18k by chance€19.74
  • 2+119,549≈ 32k by chance€7.35
  • 2+0162,977≈ 286k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1328,723≈ 329k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 9,467 winners, 48% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+125€11,215
    4+0173€291
    3+11,092€52.67
    3+09,467€19.74
    2+119,549€7.35
    2+0162,977€3.00
    0+1328,723€1.50