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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 October 2022

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 41
  6. 8

Jackpot€9,300,000

The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 658 of 869 under them

← 2022-10-09All recent draws2022-10-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 21 24 25 41 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

456times
2160times
2463times
2551times
41

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 418k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€177.6K
  • 2+034%€429.6K
  • 0+130%€374.8K
  • 4 other tiers22%€277.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

867times

Every number was expected about that many times after 657 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 21, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 June 2021 — its closest relative in 657 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • 4+121≈ 32 by chance€8,459
  • 4+0176≈ 289 by chance€181
  • 3+11,075≈ 1.5k by chance€33.90
  • 3+08,936≈ 14k by chance€13.25
  • 2+115,190≈ 24k by chance€6.00
  • 2+0143,201≈ 217k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1249,869≈ 250k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 15,190 winners, 37% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+121€8,459
    4+0176€181
    3+11,075€33.90
    3+08,936€13.25
    2+115,190€6.00
    2+0143,201€3.00
    0+1249,869€1.50