El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number · star deck
4
Star 4 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 870 draws, 1 from 0–9.
Main numbers Stars 84 times drawn · chance expected 87 −0.34σ
0 draws waiting — it came up last time
10.4 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
57 longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 84 times in 870 draws against 87.0 expected, −0.34σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 84 times in 870 draws · average wait 10.4 draws · longest completed wait 57 · drawn in the most recent draw
9 draws: 2010-01-24 to 2010-03-28 3 draws: 2010-03-28 to 2010-04-18 11 draws: 2010-04-18 to 2010-07-04 27 draws: 2010-07-04 to 2011-01-09 13 draws: 2011-01-09 to 2011-04-10 57 draws: 2011-04-10 to 2012-05-13 6 draws: 2012-05-13 to 2012-06-24 4 draws: 2012-06-24 to 2012-07-22 24 draws: 2012-07-22 to 2013-01-06 23 draws: 2013-01-06 to 2013-06-16 4 draws: 2013-06-16 to 2013-07-14 9 draws: 2013-07-14 to 2013-09-15 10 draws: 2013-09-15 to 2013-11-24 12 draws: 2013-11-24 to 2014-02-16 29 draws: 2014-02-16 to 2014-09-07 28 draws: 2014-09-07 to 2015-03-22 2 draws: 2015-03-22 to 2015-04-05 18 draws: 2015-04-05 to 2015-08-09 3 draws: 2015-08-09 to 2015-08-30 11 draws: 2015-08-30 to 2015-11-15 6 draws: 2015-11-15 to 2015-12-27 13 draws: 2015-12-27 to 2016-03-27 8 draws: 2016-03-27 to 2016-05-22 16 draws: 2016-05-22 to 2016-09-11 22 draws: 2016-09-11 to 2017-02-12 5 draws: 2017-02-12 to 2017-03-19 19 draws: 2017-03-19 to 2017-07-30 5 draws: 2017-07-30 to 2017-09-03 8 draws: 2017-09-03 to 2017-10-29 2 draws: 2017-10-29 to 2017-11-12 5 draws: 2017-11-12 to 2017-12-17 7 draws: 2017-12-17 to 2018-02-04 4 draws: 2018-02-04 to 2018-03-04 13 draws: 2018-03-04 to 2018-06-03 2 draws: 2018-06-03 to 2018-06-17 2 draws: 2018-06-17 to 2018-07-01 8 draws: 2018-07-01 to 2018-08-26 12 draws: 2018-08-26 to 2018-11-18 37 draws: 2018-11-18 to 2019-08-04 2 draws: 2019-08-04 to 2019-08-18 2 draws: 2019-08-18 to 2019-09-01 6 draws: 2019-09-01 to 2019-10-13 28 draws: 2019-10-13 to 2020-07-05 18 draws: 2020-07-05 to 2020-11-08 11 draws: 2020-11-08 to 2021-01-24 4 draws: 2021-01-24 to 2021-02-21 3 draws: 2021-02-21 to 2021-03-14 6 draws: 2021-03-14 to 2021-04-25 11 draws: 2021-04-25 to 2021-07-11 12 draws: 2021-07-11 to 2021-10-03 2 draws: 2021-10-03 to 2021-10-17 7 draws: 2021-10-17 to 2021-12-05 8 draws: 2021-12-05 to 2022-01-30 19 draws: 2022-01-30 to 2022-06-12 1 draws: 2022-06-12 to 2022-06-19 6 draws: 2022-06-19 to 2022-07-31 7 draws: 2022-07-31 to 2022-09-18 33 draws: 2022-09-18 to 2023-05-07 1 draws: 2023-05-07 to 2023-05-14 1 draws: 2023-05-14 to 2023-05-21 4 draws: 2023-05-21 to 2023-06-18 12 draws: 2023-06-18 to 2023-09-10 9 draws: 2023-09-10 to 2023-11-12 1 draws: 2023-11-12 to 2023-11-19 19 draws: 2023-11-19 to 2024-03-31 1 draws: 2024-03-31 to 2024-04-07 6 draws: 2024-04-07 to 2024-05-19 8 draws: 2024-05-19 to 2024-07-14 7 draws: 2024-07-14 to 2024-09-01 2 draws: 2024-09-01 to 2024-09-15 5 draws: 2024-09-15 to 2024-10-20 31 draws: 2024-10-20 to 2025-05-25 12 draws: 2025-05-25 to 2025-08-17 2 draws: 2025-08-17 to 2025-08-31 1 draws: 2025-08-31 to 2025-09-07 6 draws: 2025-09-07 to 2025-10-19 11 draws: 2025-10-19 to 2026-01-04 11 draws: 2026-01-04 to 2026-03-22 5 draws: 2026-03-22 to 2026-04-26 5 draws: 2026-04-26 to 2026-05-31 5 draws: 2026-05-31 to 2026-07-05 14 draws: 2026-07-05 to 2026-10-11 4 draws: 2026-10-11 to 2026-11-08 2010-01-24 2010-03-28 2010-04-18 2010-07-04 2011-01-09 2011-04-10 2012-05-13 2012-06-24 2012-07-22 2013-01-06 2013-06-16 2013-07-14 2013-09-15 2013-11-24 2014-02-16 2014-09-07 2015-03-22 2015-04-05 2015-08-09 2015-08-30 2015-11-15 2015-12-27 2016-03-27 2016-05-22 2016-09-11 2017-02-12 2017-03-19 2017-07-30 2017-09-03 2017-10-29 2017-11-12 2017-12-17 2018-02-04 2018-03-04 2018-06-03 2018-06-17 2018-07-01 2018-08-26 2018-11-18 2019-08-04 2019-08-18 2019-09-01 2019-10-13 2020-07-05 2020-11-08 2021-01-24 2021-02-21 2021-03-14 2021-04-25 2021-07-11 2021-10-03 2021-10-17 2021-12-05 2022-01-30 2022-06-12 2022-06-19 2022-07-31 2022-09-18 2023-05-07 2023-05-14 2023-05-21 2023-06-18 2023-09-10 2023-11-12 2023-11-19 2024-03-31 2024-04-07 2024-05-19 2024-07-14 2024-09-01 2024-09-15 2024-10-20 2025-05-25 2025-08-17 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 2025-10-19 2026-01-04 2026-03-22 2026-04-26 2026-05-31 2026-07-05 2026-10-11 2026-11-08 2010-01-03 2026-11-08
1 draws: 6 times 2 draws: 9 times 3 draws: 3 times 4 draws: 6 times 5 draws: 7 times 6 draws: 7 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 5 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 1 time 11 draws: 6 times 12 draws: 5 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 3 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 2 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 1 time 58 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 84 · chance 84.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 3 Every number star 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.