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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 18 August 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 23
  4. 24
  5. 31
  6. 6

Jackpot€4,800,000

The crowdHeld 24% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 754 of 869 under them

← 2024-08-11All recent draws2024-08-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 23 24 31 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

1068times
1372times
2372times
2480times
31

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-18

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 378k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€114.4K
  • 2+039%€417.8K
  • 0+129%€317.8K
  • 5 other tiers21%€232.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

71times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each

675times

Every number was expected about that many times after 753 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 23, 24) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 January 2024 — its closest relative in 753 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.00 by chance€114,434
  • 4+125≈ 27 by chance€832
  • 4+0257≈ 245 by chance€94.45
  • 3+11,108≈ 1.3k by chance€25.04
  • 3+010,425≈ 12k by chance€8.65
  • 2+114,632≈ 20k by chance€4.74
  • 2+0139,279≈ 184k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1211,845≈ 212k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 14,632 winners, 29% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€114,434
    4+125€832
    4+0257€94.45
    3+11,108€25.04
    3+010,425€8.65
    2+114,632€4.74
    2+0139,279€3.00
    0+1211,845€1.50