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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 2 January 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 20
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 6

Jackpot€8,462,462

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 53 of 868 under them

← 2010-12-26All recent draws2011-01-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 20 28 31 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

12times
84times
204times
289times
31

Prize breakdown · 2011-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 746k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€333.2K
  • 2+033%€740.3K
  • 0+130%€681.4K
  • 4 other tiers23%€521.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.24 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

65times

Every number was expected about that many times after 52 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 October 2010 — its closest relative in 52 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 December 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

88

The numbers add up to 88 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 2.1 by chance
no winners
  • 4+150≈ 58 by chance€6,664
  • 4+0353≈ 525 by chance€169
  • 3+11,713≈ 2.8k by chance€39.90
  • 3+016,023≈ 25k by chance€13.86
  • 2+126,409≈ 44k by chance€6.47
  • 2+0246,783≈ 395k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1454,259≈ 454k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 26,409 winners, 40% fewer than the 44k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+150€6,664
    4+0353€169
    3+11,713€39.90
    3+016,023€13.86
    2+126,409€6.47
    2+0246,783€3.00
    0+1454,259€1.50