El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number · star deck
1
Star 1 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 870 draws, 1 from 0–9.
Main numbers Stars 77 times drawn · chance expected 87 −1.13σ
12 draws waiting · a wait this long: 31% for any number
11.0 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
45 longest completed wait · 52% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 77 times in 870 draws against 87.0 expected, −1.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1 Number 1, draw by draw Drawn 77 times in 870 draws · average wait 11.0 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 12 draws now
5 draws: 2010-05-09 to 2010-06-13 9 draws: 2010-06-13 to 2010-08-15 6 draws: 2010-08-15 to 2010-09-26 6 draws: 2010-09-26 to 2010-11-07 13 draws: 2010-11-07 to 2011-02-06 22 draws: 2011-02-06 to 2011-07-10 3 draws: 2011-07-10 to 2011-07-31 3 draws: 2011-07-31 to 2011-08-21 9 draws: 2011-08-21 to 2011-10-23 4 draws: 2011-10-23 to 2011-11-20 27 draws: 2011-11-20 to 2012-05-27 1 draws: 2012-05-27 to 2012-06-03 17 draws: 2012-06-03 to 2012-09-30 1 draws: 2012-09-30 to 2012-10-07 3 draws: 2012-10-07 to 2012-10-28 1 draws: 2012-10-28 to 2012-11-04 12 draws: 2012-11-04 to 2013-01-27 26 draws: 2013-01-27 to 2013-07-28 1 draws: 2013-07-28 to 2013-08-04 23 draws: 2013-08-04 to 2014-01-12 22 draws: 2014-01-12 to 2014-06-15 6 draws: 2014-06-15 to 2014-07-27 1 draws: 2014-07-27 to 2014-08-03 21 draws: 2014-08-03 to 2014-12-28 25 draws: 2014-12-28 to 2015-06-21 2 draws: 2015-06-21 to 2015-07-05 11 draws: 2015-07-05 to 2015-09-20 4 draws: 2015-09-20 to 2015-10-18 2 draws: 2015-10-18 to 2015-11-01 32 draws: 2015-11-01 to 2016-06-12 1 draws: 2016-06-12 to 2016-06-19 17 draws: 2016-06-19 to 2016-10-16 1 draws: 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 7 draws: 2016-10-23 to 2016-12-11 20 draws: 2016-12-11 to 2017-04-30 3 draws: 2017-04-30 to 2017-05-21 1 draws: 2017-05-21 to 2017-05-28 5 draws: 2017-05-28 to 2017-07-02 11 draws: 2017-07-02 to 2017-09-17 1 draws: 2017-09-17 to 2017-09-24 16 draws: 2017-09-24 to 2018-01-14 1 draws: 2018-01-14 to 2018-01-21 29 draws: 2018-01-21 to 2018-08-12 8 draws: 2018-08-12 to 2018-10-07 34 draws: 2018-10-07 to 2019-06-02 8 draws: 2019-06-02 to 2019-07-28 43 draws: 2019-07-28 to 2020-08-02 6 draws: 2020-08-02 to 2020-09-13 3 draws: 2020-09-13 to 2020-10-04 1 draws: 2020-10-04 to 2020-10-11 14 draws: 2020-10-11 to 2021-01-17 31 draws: 2021-01-17 to 2021-08-22 25 draws: 2021-08-22 to 2022-02-13 2 draws: 2022-02-13 to 2022-02-27 2 draws: 2022-02-27 to 2022-03-13 21 draws: 2022-03-13 to 2022-08-07 5 draws: 2022-08-07 to 2022-09-11 7 draws: 2022-09-11 to 2022-10-30 4 draws: 2022-10-30 to 2022-11-27 4 draws: 2022-11-27 to 2022-12-25 2 draws: 2022-12-25 to 2023-01-08 7 draws: 2023-01-08 to 2023-02-26 34 draws: 2023-02-26 to 2023-10-22 1 draws: 2023-10-22 to 2023-10-29 10 draws: 2023-10-29 to 2024-01-07 3 draws: 2024-01-07 to 2024-01-28 5 draws: 2024-01-28 to 2024-03-03 9 draws: 2024-03-03 to 2024-05-05 45 draws: 2024-05-05 to 2025-03-16 5 draws: 2025-03-16 to 2025-04-20 7 draws: 2025-04-20 to 2025-06-08 2 draws: 2025-06-08 to 2025-06-22 1 draws: 2025-06-22 to 2025-06-29 12 draws: 2025-06-29 to 2025-09-21 43 draws: 2025-09-21 to 2026-07-19 4 draws: 2026-07-19 to 2026-08-16 Still waiting — at least 12 draws since 2026-08-16 2010-05-09 2010-06-13 2010-08-15 2010-09-26 2010-11-07 2011-02-06 2011-07-10 2011-07-31 2011-08-21 2011-10-23 2011-11-20 2012-05-27 2012-06-03 2012-09-30 2012-10-07 2012-10-28 2012-11-04 2013-01-27 2013-07-28 2013-08-04 2014-01-12 2014-06-15 2014-07-27 2014-08-03 2014-12-28 2015-06-21 2015-07-05 2015-09-20 2015-10-18 2015-11-01 2016-06-12 2016-06-19 2016-10-16 2016-10-23 2016-12-11 2017-04-30 2017-05-21 2017-05-28 2017-07-02 2017-09-17 2017-09-24 2018-01-14 2018-01-21 2018-08-12 2018-10-07 2019-06-02 2019-07-28 2020-08-02 2020-09-13 2020-10-04 2020-10-11 2021-01-17 2021-08-22 2022-02-13 2022-02-27 2022-03-13 2022-08-07 2022-09-11 2022-10-30 2022-11-27 2022-12-25 2023-01-08 2023-02-26 2023-10-22 2023-10-29 2024-01-07 2024-01-28 2024-03-03 2024-05-05 2025-03-16 2025-04-20 2025-06-08 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 2025-09-21 2026-07-19 2026-08-16 2010-01-03 2026-11-08
1 draws: 13 times 2 draws: 6 times 3 draws: 6 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 5 times 6 draws: 4 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 1 time 11 draws: 2 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 1 time 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 2 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 2 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 1 time 46 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 77 · chance 77.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 0 Every number star 2 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.