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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,562,200
The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 798 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 133 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 797 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 31, 32) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 December 2019 — its closest relative in 797 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 168 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 181,974 winners, 16% more than the 157k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €306,137 |
| rang3 | 2 | €47,699 |
| rang4 | 4 | €1,783 |
| rang5 | 101 | €188 |
| rang6 | 196 | €86.00 |
| rang7 | 223 | €55.00 |
| rang8 | 3,215 | €20.60 |
| rang9 | 4,605 | €15.50 |
| rang10 | 11,205 | €11.50 |
| rang11 | 18,334 | €9.20 |
| rang12 | 71,389 | €7.20 |
| rang13 | 181,974 | €4.50 |