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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,177,179
The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 931 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 August 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 155 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 930 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 14, 42, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 October 2019 — its closest relative in 930 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 August 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 770,372 winners, 32% more than the 583k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 770,372 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 295,080 | £4.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 68,046 | £6.40 |
| Match 3 | 50,826 | £7.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 12,514 | £14.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 20,246 | £9.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 832 | £60.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,079 | £32.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 468 | £101 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19 | £1,350 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £176,143 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £23,177,179 |