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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£31,920,527
The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,033 of 1,048 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 August 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 172 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,032 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (38, 40, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 October 2020 — its closest relative in 1,032 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 140 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 880 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 715,142 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 292,322 | £4.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 76,664 | £5.20 |
| Match 3 | 44,238 | £7.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 14,080 | £11.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 17,979 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 884 | £51.90 |
| Match 4 | 880 | £36.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 363 | £120 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 9 | £2,619 |
| Match 5 | 2 | £37,831 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £31,920,527 |