Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£145,228,808
The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 924 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 154 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 923 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 25, 29) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 September 2024 — its closest relative in 923 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 July 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 104 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈32M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,201 winners, 37% more than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,683,554 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 704,224 | £3.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 172,275 | £4.80 |
| Match 3 | 126,467 | £5.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 34,085 | £9.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 52,194 | £7.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,461 | £38.50 |
| Match 4 | 3,201 | £20.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,313 | £68.30 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 68 | £717 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £11,180 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £223,227 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £145,228,808 |