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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,485,102
The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 814 of 1,048 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 136 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 813 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 24, 25) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 July 2022 — its closest relative in 813 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 July 2024): 39 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 63 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 19,147 winners, 41% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €211,029 |
| rang3 | 2 | €18,495 |
| rang4 | 9 | €1,280 |
| rang5 | 155 | €114 |
| rang6 | 335 | €64.80 |
| rang7 | 378 | €34.30 |
| rang8 | 4,675 | €16.00 |
| rang9 | 7,618 | €10.50 |
| rang10 | 19,147 | €7.80 |
| rang11 | 22,636 | €7.90 |
| rang12 | 103,820 | €5.40 |
| rang13 | 259,809 | €3.60 |