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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£66,920,458
The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 498 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 497 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 29, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 December 2020 — its closest relative in 497 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 June 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 139 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 8,264 winners, 8% more than the 7.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €77,959,528 |
| rang2 | 1 | €423,174 |
| rang3 | 2 | €28,258 |
| rang4 | 16 | €1,503 |
| rang5 | 207 | €117 |
| rang6 | 419 | €59.30 |
| rang7 | 368 | €40.70 |
| rang8 | 5,521 | €15.40 |
| rang9 | 8,264 | €11.00 |
| rang10 | 17,393 | €9.20 |
| rang11 | 28,903 | €7.20 |
| rang12 | 112,590 | €5.60 |
| rang13 | 240,729 | €4.00 |