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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£44,444,737
The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 874 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 146 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 873 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 23, 24) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 December 2024 — its closest relative in 873 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 February 2025): 29 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,199,016 winners, 21% more than the 994k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,199,016 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 508,548 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 115,925 | £5.60 |
| Match 3 | 81,279 | £6.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 22,992 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 35,090 | £8.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,634 | £45.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,570 | £32.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 673 | £103 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48 | £787 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £106,739 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £44,444,737 |