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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,280,190
The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 1,022 of 1,048 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,021 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 33, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 November 2024 — its closest relative in 1,021 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 July 2026): 33 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 125 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 940,529 winners, 18% more than the 799k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 940,529 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 400,598 | £4.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 93,242 | £5.60 |
| Match 3 | 64,779 | £6.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 17,535 | £11.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,622 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,186 | £50.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,351 | £30.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 659 | £85.30 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32 | £954 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £14,000 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £104,828 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £24,280,190 |