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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£107,138,894
The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 921 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 920 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 33, 41) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 31 December 2019 — its closest relative in 920 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 July 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 44 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 955 winners, 55% more than the 618 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,172,483 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 500,245 | £3.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 102,270 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 82,421 | £6.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19,255 | £12.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 35,872 | £7.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,355 | £51.60 |
| Match 4 | 2,090 | £23.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 955 | £69.30 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20 | £1,797 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £8,877 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £98,756 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £107,138,894 |