Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£41,619,162
The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 719 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 120 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 718 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 5, 32) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 November 2022 — its closest relative in 718 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 92 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 176,238 winners, 23% more than the 143k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €122,572 |
| rang3 | 0 | €57,294 |
| rang4 | 1 | €2,100 |
| rang5 | 91 | €147 |
| rang6 | 226 | €62.60 |
| rang7 | 222 | €42.90 |
| rang8 | 3,241 | €15.60 |
| rang9 | 4,743 | €12.00 |
| rang10 | 11,914 | €8.70 |
| rang11 | 16,705 | €7.50 |
| rang12 | 72,114 | €5.70 |
| rang13 | 176,238 | €3.60 |