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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£24,084,384
The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 664 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 111 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 663 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 14, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 October 2019 — its closest relative in 663 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (31 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 110 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang12 — 288,200 winners, 8% fewer than the 313k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 4 | €200,626 |
| rang3 | 9 | €10,941 |
| rang4 | 35 | €1,054 |
| rang5 | 448 | €116 |
| rang6 | 1,150 | €55.90 |
| rang7 | 1,134 | €34.60 |
| rang8 | 15,419 | €14.00 |
| rang9 | 20,313 | €11.40 |
| rang10 | 46,559 | €9.10 |
| rang11 | 82,154 | €6.70 |
| rang12 | 288,200 | €5.70 |
| rang13 | 664,455 | €3.90 |