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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£47,309,401
The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 486 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 485 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 13, 35) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 15 December 2020 — its closest relative in 485 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 May 2021): 13 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 74 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 21,621 winners, 22% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €149,388 |
| rang3 | 2 | €34,914 |
| rang4 | 8 | €1,265 |
| rang5 | 195 | €119 |
| rang6 | 407 | €57.80 |
| rang7 | 475 | €37.10 |
| rang8 | 5,942 | €14.30 |
| rang9 | 8,743 | €10.50 |
| rang10 | 21,621 | €8.10 |
| rang11 | 29,721 | €7.00 |
| rang12 | 122,079 | €5.20 |
| rang13 | 289,972 | €3.60 |