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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£62,021,629
The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 824 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 137 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 823 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 45, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 January 2024 — its closest relative in 823 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 August 2024): 15 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 155 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,208,658 winners, 32% more than the 915k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,208,658 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 459,663 | £4.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 106,693 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 82,155 | £6.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 20,538 | £12.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,884 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,352 | £54.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,744 | £29.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 663 | £105 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 29 | £1,304 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £24,277 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £129,844 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £62,021,629 |